David Maddox: The great debate... Barnes v Maddox (2)
Unlike Gordon Brown and a succession of previous Prime Ministers (or even Alex Salmond on St Andrew's Day), I am not one to shirk when the challenge is laid down for a debate, even if this one is taking place over the cyberspace rather than on people's TV screens.
But as I have the greatest respect for Eddie Barnes, who as The Scotsman group's political editor is after all my line manager, I thought I should take his central point over the great TV debate debate seriously.
Eddie stated that to exclude Alex Salmond or another SNP politician from a general election TV debate aired in Scotland is "anti democratic."
As this is a complex matter it perhaps deserves a complex solution because including the SNP would bring into play several other parties with equal or greater demands for inclusion.
I think it is unlikely that the broadcasters and main party leaders will go for regionalised debates so we need a solution which recognises the proportion of support for parties across the UK as a whole.
On this basis I have decided to look at a "fair and proportionate" way of running a UK-wide TV debate. To do this I have gone back to the last serious test of political opinion in the UK - the European Parliament election in June this year.
My calculation on who to include and how much time to give them is based on the following rules:
1. To be included in the debate a party will have to have won a European seat.
2. The time allocated is mostly based on the percentage of votes received in June, with alterations detailed below.
3. As Labour are the biggest party in Westminster but only came third in June and the Conservatives are the biggest party in the European election I have added up their June 2009 percentages and given them half each of the combined 43.4%.
4. As UKIP came second in June but have no seats in Westminster, while the Lib Dems came fourth in June but are clearly the third party in Westminster I have added their percentages together and given them half each of the combined 30.6%.
5. I have topped up the English Greens with the Scottish Green vote, even though strictly speaking they are separate parties. Perhaps Scotland's Patrick Harvie could replace England's Caroline Lucas in one of the debates.
6. I suggest that the SNP and Plaid Cymru are represented as a single Celtic block with the SNP providing speakers for two of the three debates and Plaid the other. I have also topped up their vote with the 0.1 per cent given to Cornish Nationalists Mebyon Kernow, who out polled Labour in Cornwall.
7. I have excluded Northern Ireland which could have its own debate because essentially it has its own political parties, even if the former Ulster Unionists have joined the Tories.
This means for a two hour debate the following time allocations would be provided to the parties as a percentage of the total 120 minutes:
Conservatives: 26 minutes 3 seconds (21.7%)
Labour: 26 minutes 3 seconds (21.7%)
Liberal Democrats: 18 minutes 22 seconds (15.3%)
UKIP: 18 minutes 22 seconds (15.3%)
Greens: 10 minutes 56 seconds (9.1%)
BNP: 7 minutes 27 seconds (6.2%)
SNP/ Plaid: 3 minutes 36 seconds (3%)
The rest of the time ( 9 minutes 11 seconds) would go to adverts, the presenter and maybe the audience.
Seems over complicated?
Well this is what you get by trying to be strictly "fair and proportionate". I suspect that it would have little value to the parties, the broadcasters and most of all the voters.
How much better it would be to simply recognise that this proposed debate is a part of the growing presidential style of UK general elections and would focus on which individual we would rather see as Prime Minister. That cannot be Alex Salmond, even if the law may be on his and others' side when it comes to who should be given air time.
What would really be best is a simple, straight fight of Cameron v Brown.
Over to you Eddie.
But as I have the greatest respect for Eddie Barnes, who as The Scotsman group's political editor is after all my line manager, I thought I should take his central point over the great TV debate debate seriously.
Eddie stated that to exclude Alex Salmond or another SNP politician from a general election TV debate aired in Scotland is "anti democratic."
As this is a complex matter it perhaps deserves a complex solution because including the SNP would bring into play several other parties with equal or greater demands for inclusion.
I think it is unlikely that the broadcasters and main party leaders will go for regionalised debates so we need a solution which recognises the proportion of support for parties across the UK as a whole.
On this basis I have decided to look at a "fair and proportionate" way of running a UK-wide TV debate. To do this I have gone back to the last serious test of political opinion in the UK - the European Parliament election in June this year.
My calculation on who to include and how much time to give them is based on the following rules:
1. To be included in the debate a party will have to have won a European seat.
2. The time allocated is mostly based on the percentage of votes received in June, with alterations detailed below.
3. As Labour are the biggest party in Westminster but only came third in June and the Conservatives are the biggest party in the European election I have added up their June 2009 percentages and given them half each of the combined 43.4%.
4. As UKIP came second in June but have no seats in Westminster, while the Lib Dems came fourth in June but are clearly the third party in Westminster I have added their percentages together and given them half each of the combined 30.6%.
5. I have topped up the English Greens with the Scottish Green vote, even though strictly speaking they are separate parties. Perhaps Scotland's Patrick Harvie could replace England's Caroline Lucas in one of the debates.
6. I suggest that the SNP and Plaid Cymru are represented as a single Celtic block with the SNP providing speakers for two of the three debates and Plaid the other. I have also topped up their vote with the 0.1 per cent given to Cornish Nationalists Mebyon Kernow, who out polled Labour in Cornwall.
7. I have excluded Northern Ireland which could have its own debate because essentially it has its own political parties, even if the former Ulster Unionists have joined the Tories.
This means for a two hour debate the following time allocations would be provided to the parties as a percentage of the total 120 minutes:
Conservatives: 26 minutes 3 seconds (21.7%)
Labour: 26 minutes 3 seconds (21.7%)
Liberal Democrats: 18 minutes 22 seconds (15.3%)
UKIP: 18 minutes 22 seconds (15.3%)
Greens: 10 minutes 56 seconds (9.1%)
BNP: 7 minutes 27 seconds (6.2%)
SNP/ Plaid: 3 minutes 36 seconds (3%)
The rest of the time ( 9 minutes 11 seconds) would go to adverts, the presenter and maybe the audience.
Seems over complicated?
Well this is what you get by trying to be strictly "fair and proportionate". I suspect that it would have little value to the parties, the broadcasters and most of all the voters.
How much better it would be to simply recognise that this proposed debate is a part of the growing presidential style of UK general elections and would focus on which individual we would rather see as Prime Minister. That cannot be Alex Salmond, even if the law may be on his and others' side when it comes to who should be given air time.
What would really be best is a simple, straight fight of Cameron v Brown.
Over to you Eddie.
Labels: David Maddox, election debate, television








