SNP Tactical Voting: East-enders
Labour's Party Conference in Brighton has now come to an end, swiftly followed by mixed reviews. Mixed mostly in that Labour party members thought it went very well while everybody else seems to think otherwise.
Amongst unwanted headlines involving The Sun, 'Gulags', Lord Mandelson, polls and attempted interview walkouts, there was some good news for a local Labour branch as Edinburgh East was awarded a recognition award for the extra effort that has been put into fighting for this constituency.
Congratulations is always due when great work is achieved but given that Edinburgh East is the safest of Labour's seats in the Capital, I was surprised that so much effort is going into saving it.
A 2.5% swing is needed to beat Labour in Edinburgh North & Leith, an 8% swing is needed in Edinburgh South West while a rather large 12% swing is needed by the main challengers in Edinburgh East.
The SNP won just short of an 8% swing in the European elections earlier this year so one would think that the front line of defence would start at the North & Leith constituency rather than Edinburgh East.
Assuming that Labour MP Nigel Griffiths will lose his tiny majority in Edinburgh South to either the Liberal Democrats or the Conservatives, is it possible that, by seemingly concentrating effort and resources in Edinburgh East, Labour are tacitly admitting that its other seats are now a lost cause?
Are Labour now fighting for just one MP in the Capital?
Amongst unwanted headlines involving The Sun, 'Gulags', Lord Mandelson, polls and attempted interview walkouts, there was some good news for a local Labour branch as Edinburgh East was awarded a recognition award for the extra effort that has been put into fighting for this constituency.
Congratulations is always due when great work is achieved but given that Edinburgh East is the safest of Labour's seats in the Capital, I was surprised that so much effort is going into saving it.
A 2.5% swing is needed to beat Labour in Edinburgh North & Leith, an 8% swing is needed in Edinburgh South West while a rather large 12% swing is needed by the main challengers in Edinburgh East.
The SNP won just short of an 8% swing in the European elections earlier this year so one would think that the front line of defence would start at the North & Leith constituency rather than Edinburgh East.
Assuming that Labour MP Nigel Griffiths will lose his tiny majority in Edinburgh South to either the Liberal Democrats or the Conservatives, is it possible that, by seemingly concentrating effort and resources in Edinburgh East, Labour are tacitly admitting that its other seats are now a lost cause?
Are Labour now fighting for just one MP in the Capital?
posted by Jeff at
07:56
3 Comments:
It has begun.
Fascinating. Dundee's already an SNP city, Inverness is swinging towards the party, Aberdeen is increasingly fertile territoty and Glasgow South, Central and North are all in with a good chance of the SNP beating Labour, and John Mason is likely to hold Glasgow East.
No wonder so many of their Scottish MPs are gtting jumpy and looking toward Holyrood 2011.
Where the heck are you getting those swing figures from?
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