The Steamie

Wednesday, 31 December 2008

Wild Political Predictions 2009 - Eddie Barnes

Ten Wild Predictions for the next twelve months.

1. Having failed to persuade Brown to go for a general election, Lord Mandelson will resign from the cabinet in June. In a statement he offers his full support for Gordon Brown and tells party donors and MPs that "the last thing we need right now is a leadership challenge". Friends of Mandelson then let it be known that "any speculation that Peter would stand as party leader is plain daft". Leadership challenge? Party leader? As speculation goes into over-drive, Mandelson issues a personal statement. "The damaging speculation about an imminent leadership contest involving myself and perhaps one or two other Labour Ministers who may yet emerge in the coming weeks must stop," he declares. It doesn't.

2. Up to a dozen MPs will be forced to quit following the long-awaited and much-delayed publication of their expense claims forms, which reveal wholesale abuse of the system.

3. ID Cards will be scrapped.

4. The Conservative lead in the polls will head into the stratosphere, as LibDem voters cross over en masse to back David Cameron, wooed by the newly installed Shadow Chancellor, Ken Clarke.

5. Tommy Sheridan will win Celebrity Big Brother.

6. As their poll figures slide inexorably towards single figures, the Scottish Liberal Democrats will announce they are holding a vote of party members on whether to back a referendum on Scottish independence.

7. Scottish Labour will decide not to force Alex Salmond's resignation by declining to vote down his annual budget, to be unveiled this spring.

8. The SNP Government will suffer its first Ministerial resignation.

9. Barack Obama will visit North Queensferry during his "At Home with Gordon" visit. It will rain for the duration.

10. Cherie Blair will announce she is going to become an MP.

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